BONK Price Prediction: Single-day big pump of 25% approaches historical high, three key factors determine short-term trend.

Meme coin BONK surged 25% in 24 hours, with a weekly increase of 75%, currently priced at $0.00003936, approaching the key Fibonacci "golden pocket" resistance zone. On-chain data shows significant movement: derivatives trading volume skyrocketed by 150%, open contracts surged by 36%, and short positions were liquidated for $3.39 million in a single day; Grayscale has included it in its institutional monitoring list, while the ecological platform LetsBonkfun dominates with a 52% market share, crushing Pumpfun. Technically, RSI is overbought at 78.31, and if it breaks through $0.0000419, it may challenge the historical high of $0.000059; a drop below $0.0000389 could trigger a 20% pullback.

Derivatives frenzy fuels surge, short positions wipe out 3.39 million USD in a single day

• Price and Volume Soar Together: CoinMarketCap data shows that BONK's market capitalization has returned to 3 billion USD, with a 24-hour trading volume surging 60% to 2.4 billion USD, just 33% away from its all-time high.
• Derivatives Market Booms: Coinglass monitors a single-day surge of 150% in derivatives trading volume, with open interest (OI) increasing by 36%, and leveraged long positions strongly controlling the market.
• Short positions liquidation: In the past 24 hours, short positions liquidation reached $3.39 million, exacerbating the short squeeze.

Grayscale endorsement + ecological monopoly, fundamental support valuation surge

1. Institutional Entry Signal: Grayscale has included BONK in its institutional monitoring list, which, although not an ETF commitment, significantly increases the attention of traditional capital.
2. Ecological Platform Dominance: ▶ LetsBonkfun captures 52% of the meme coin creation market (surpassing Pumpfun's 39%) ▶ Pumpfun still leads with 401,000 daily active users (LetsBonk has 268,000)
3. Market Positioning: Steadily ranks as the top meme coin in the SOL ecosystem, with a total market value exceeding $3.02 billion.

Technical Analysis: Gold Pocket Battle at 0.0000419, Overbought Zone Hides Risk of Trend Reversal

• Bullish Momentum Path: ▶ The 4-hour chart has strongly broken through the 3.618 Fibonacci level (0.00003894 USD) ▶ Currently under pressure at the 4.236 golden pocket resistance (0.0000419 USD) ▶ The MACD histogram continues to expand, and the ultimate oscillator remains above 66, maintaining a bullish structure.
• Pullback Warning Signal： ▶ RSI weekly reached 78.31 extreme Overbought zone (highest value in 2025) ▶ If it cannot stabilize at $0.0000389, it may pull back to the 2.618 support level ($0.0000341) ▶ Derivatives trading fee rate reaches 0.18%, leverage bubble risk accumulates

Long and Short Strategy: Gold Pocket Wins or Loses, Breakout Follow-up VS Pullback Bottom Hunting

• Breakout Scenario: If the volume breaks through 0.0000419 USD, the upward target is set at: ▶ First target $0.000046 (previous high neckline) ▶ Ultimate target 0.000059 historical peak

• Defensive Strategy: ▶ Long position stop loss: $0.0000385 (4-hour EMA30 moving average) ▶ Build positions in batches: $0.0000341 (2.618 Fibonacci support) ▶ Extreme pullback bottom line: $0.000029 (50-day strength boundary)

  

Conclusion: 0.0000389 is the lifeline for long and short positions, Grayscale's directional trigger Whether BONK can continue to set new highs in the short term depends on three major factors:

1. Has the grayscale monitoring list been converted into an actual ETF application?
2. Can the SOL ecosystem funds continue to flow in (SOL weekly increase of 19% forming a linkage)
3. The effectiveness of converting the $0.0000419 gold pocket resistance into support. If the derivatives fee rate exceeds 0.25% within 24 hours or the exchange sees a large sell order exceeding 50 million USD, be wary of long positions being liquidated. Historical data shows that after the meme coin RSI > 80, the average pullback reached 28%. Aggressive chasing of rises should strictly adhere to stop-loss discipline.