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The survey shows: the European Central Bank may implement the last rate cut of this round in December.
Jin10 data August 11 news, a survey shows that European Central Bank officials will wait until December to implement the next interest rate cut, which is likely to be the last step in this round of rate-cutting cycle. Compared to the July survey, economists have delayed expectations for the next rate cut by three months. They believe that by then the deposit interest rate will drop to 1.75%, and will maintain this level for 9 to 10 months, after which, as demand rebounds, the European Central Bank will be forced to reverse its policy direction. Waiting until the last decision in 2025 to take action will give European Central Bank policymakers more time to assess the impact of the trade turmoil triggered by US President Trump. By December, policymakers will have mastered the economic performance data for the third quarter, which will more clearly reflect the underlying momentum of the economy after the distortion effect caused by companies acting ahead of US tariff increases at the beginning of the year dissipates. The new forecast report will also allow them to understand for the first time the growth and inflation trends for 2028.